UBS analysts have again reduced their global growth forecasts, now predicting a slowdown to 2.5% in 2025, down from 2.9%, largely due to the impact of U.S. tariffs under President Trump. U.S. growth estimates for this year have also been cut to 1.5%, with inflation expected to rise sharply in the U.S. but remain stable elsewhere. The ongoing trade war, particularly with China, has intensified, with tariffs reaching up to 145% on Chinese goods, leading to significant economic uncertainty.